Romney up by 7 points, but Obama likely to win electoral college

Everyone knows electoral college votes decides the winner of a presidential election.

According to the Gallup poll Mitt Romney leads President Obama by 7 points among “likely voters,” but “according to both Nate Silver and InTrade, President Obama has a better-than-60-percent chance of winning the election.”

Despite Gallup’s numbers, other polls show Obama comfortably in the lead in battleground states such as Iowa that will decide the election.

According to Ezra Klein, “Obama is winning the West (+6), the East (+4), and the Midwest (+4). The only region he’s losing is the South.

Klein caught up with Frank Newport, the editor-in-chief of Gallup, and asked him about the logic behind the Gallup poll results.

Klein asked Newport to explain the “likely voters” model.

“The likely voters model takes into account changes in the response to questions about how closely they’re following and how enthusiastic they are,” Newport said. “It’s not just capturing underlying movement — it’s representing changes in enthusiasm.”

So, in other words, the Gallup poll is based on the “enthusiasm” of the person being polled.

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    20 Responses to “Romney up by 7 points, but Obama likely to win electoral college”

    1. 1
      Xena68 says:

      Damn skippy :obama:

    2. 2
      Yardgirl says:

      Hells yeah!! Lemme just use my 2 alloted emoticons: :obama: :obama:

    3. 3
      sassyshe says:

      :cheers: I would do an early toast but we cant claim victory as yet. Sandra.stop trying to make this into an Al Gore moment :obama:

    4. 4
      hell_on_heels says:

      There is NOTHING more appealing than an educated and fearless BLACK MAN!!! :obama:

    5. 5
      Bedazzled His Razzle says:

      that dayum picture though :lol:

    6. 6
      Bedazzled His Razzle says:

      I have a question…. If Auntie is so pro Romney… why is there only a :obama: emote and not a :romney: emote???

    7. 7
      Bedazzled His Razzle says:

      RIP Seamus :dead: <— poor poochie's grave :wail:

    8. 8
      mizzdallas says:

      Early voting starts next week for all texas residents, I’m most definitely going early voting. I donot want to wait until election day, waiting in the damn line all day long. :nono:

    9. 9
      Keesh says:

      Its to late in the day for this shiat Auntie.
      Am I the only one that get caught up looking at that mole on Obama face and cant concentrate on nothing else?

    10. 10
      mizzdallas says:

      :rofl: at Barry pic that nigga cheesing hard…

    11. 11
      marquez269 says:

      Of course he’s losing in the south I love my state but its nothing but a bunch of racists and rednecks here #punintended

    12. 12

      i aint studdin these polls. let’s see what the actual vote counts lookin like Nov 6 shall we? :coffee:

    13. 13

      in other news, granny tryna get fired. that hoe gots me FCKD if she thank she gone get fied foe me doe :nono: :coffee:

      bish gone delete EVERY LAST FILE we had on the server & chit. it was brilliant :coffee:

    14. 14
      Bedazzled His Razzle says:

      :rofl: @”it was brilliant”

    15. 15

      i know good & damn well when :obama: finished up tues night, somebody out there thought he was gonna throw up the Roc sign tambout it’s BA-RACK!


    16. 16
    17. 17
      Ty says:

      Bedazzled His Razzle says:

      I have a question…. If Auntie is so pro Romney… why is there only a emote and not a :romney: emote???
      Who would use it :rofl:

      :obama: Let me find a poll to take :haha:

    18. 18
      kingstonn says:

      I’m gonna vote for Obama on Seamus’ behalf. :cry:

    19. 19
      J Said it! says:

      Thats all that matters is the electoral college.. like romney get the popular vote, which i doubt he win that

    20. 20
      missmiami says:

      :rofl: auntie u and your selection of pics

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