By Sandra Rose  | 

Everyone knows electoral college votes decides the winner of a presidential election.

According to the Gallup poll Mitt Romney leads President Obama by 7 points among "likely voters," but "according to both Nate Silver and InTrade, President Obama has a better-than-60-percent chance of winning the election."

Despite Gallup's numbers, other polls show Obama comfortably in the lead in battleground states such as Iowa that will decide the election.

According to Ezra Klein, "Obama is winning the West (+6), the East (+4), and the Midwest (+4). The only region he’s losing is the South.

Klein caught up with Frank Newport, the editor-in-chief of Gallup, and asked him about the logic behind the Gallup poll results.

Klein asked Newport to explain the "likely voters" model.

“The likely voters model takes into account changes in the response to questions about how closely they’re following and how enthusiastic they are,” Newport said. "It’s not just capturing underlying movement — it’s representing changes in enthusiasm."

So, in other words, the Gallup poll is based on the "enthusiasm" of the person being polled.

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    • Xena68

      Damn skippy :obama:

    • Yardgirl

      Hells yeah!! Lemme just use my 2 alloted emoticons: :obama: :obama:

    • sassyshe

      :cheers: I would do an early toast but we cant claim victory as yet. Sandra.stop trying to make this into an Al Gore moment :obama:

    • hell_on_heels

      There is NOTHING more appealing than an educated and fearless BLACK MAN!!! :obama:

    • Bedazzled His Razzle

      that dayum picture though :lol:

    • Bedazzled His Razzle

      I have a question.... If Auntie is so pro Romney... why is there only a :obama: emote and not a :romney: emote???

    • Bedazzled His Razzle

      RIP Seamus :dead: <--- poor poochie's grave :wail:

    • mizzdallas

      Early voting starts next week for all texas residents, I'm most definitely going early voting. I donot want to wait until election day, waiting in the damn line all day long. :nono:

    • Keesh

      Its to late in the day for this shiat Auntie.
      Am I the only one that get caught up looking at that mole on Obama face and cant concentrate on nothing else?

    • mizzdallas

      :rofl: at Barry pic that nigga cheesing hard...

    • marquez269

      Of course he's losing in the south I love my state but its nothing but a bunch of racists and rednecks here #punintended

    • Fayla aka IWhipIt..WhipItRealGood:)

      i aint studdin these polls. let's see what the actual vote counts lookin like Nov 6 shall we? :coffee:

    • Fayla aka IWhipIt..WhipItRealGood:)

      in other news, granny tryna get fired. that hoe gots me FCKD if she thank she gone get fied foe me doe :nono: :coffee:

      bish gone delete EVERY LAST FILE we had on the server & chit. it was brilliant :coffee:

    • Bedazzled His Razzle

      :rofl: @"it was brilliant"

    • Fayla aka IWhipIt..WhipItRealGood:)

      i know good & damn well when :obama: finished up tues night, somebody out there thought he was gonna throw up the Roc sign tambout it's BA-RACK!


    • Fayla aka IWhipIt..WhipItRealGood:)

      Razzle :lol: it was tho :coffee:

    • Ty

      Bedazzled His Razzle says:

      I have a question…. If Auntie is so pro Romney… why is there only a emote and not a :romney: emote???
      Who would use it :rofl:

      :obama: Let me find a poll to take :haha:

    • kingstonn

      I'm gonna vote for Obama on Seamus' behalf. :cry:

    • J Said it!

      Thats all that matters is the electoral college.. like romney get the popular vote, which i doubt he win that

    • missmiami

      :rofl: auntie u and your selection of pics